Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
Aug 28, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente1 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Independiente
Sunday, August 21 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 21 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Sarmiento
Tuesday, August 23 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, August 23 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
38.36% ( 0.39) | 29.2% ( 0.07) | 32.43% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 44% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.26% ( -0.28) | 62.74% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.72% ( -0.2) | 82.28% ( 0.21) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.34% ( 0.1) | 31.66% ( -0.1) |