Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 6, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
Catolica3 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.04%) and 3-2 (4.62%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Nacional |
| 40.76% | 21.45% | 37.79% |
| Both teams to score 71.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
