Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional2 - 0Catolica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Nacional | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
49.99% | 26.79% | 23.21% |
Both teams to score 44.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |