Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Nov 26, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Fenix1 - 4Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Fenix and Independiente.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Independiente |
| 21.37% | 25.47% | 53.16% |
| Both teams to score 46.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.22% | 55.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.09% | 76.91% |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.76% | 41.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.23% | 77.77% |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% | 21.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.2% | 53.79% |
| Score Analysis |
Fenix 21.37%
Independiente 53.15%
Draw 25.47%
| Fenix | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% 2-1 @ 5.3% 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 1.57% 3-2 @ 1.22% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.37% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 13.51% 0-2 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.15% |
Form Guide
