Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Palestino win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Club Libertad in this match.