Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 15, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional4 - 1Libertad
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Club Libertad |
| 44.93% | 24.49% | 30.58% |
| Both teams to score 57.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% | 44.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% | 67.27% |
| Atletico Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% | 20.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.63% | 52.36% |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% | 27.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.68% | 63.31% |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Nacional 44.93%
Club Libertad 30.58%
Draw 24.48%
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Club Libertad |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.91% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-1 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.58% |
How you voted: Atletico Nacional vs Libertad
Atletico Nacional
62.5%Draw
12.5%Club Libertad
25.0%8
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2021 1.30am
Form Guide
