Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vasco1 - 0Puerto Cabello
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Vasco da Gama and Academia Puerto Cabello.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Vasco
Saturday, April 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
2
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 2-2 Lanus
Thursday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
51.61% ( 0.04) | 26.47% ( -0.02) | 21.92% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.41% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.23% ( 0.04) | 58.77% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.71% ( 0.03) | 79.29% ( -0.02) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( 0.03) | 22.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.32% ( 0.05) | 56.68% ( -0.05) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.61% ( -0) | 42.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.23% ( -0) | 78.77% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama 51.61%
Academia Puerto Cabello 21.92%
Draw 26.47%
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% 2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 51.61% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.11% 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.92% |
Form Guide
