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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 2, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin
Vasco da Gama

Melgar
vs.
Vasco

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 4-2 Melgar
Wednesday, March 12 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Santos
Sunday, March 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melgar win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 30.81% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).

Result
MelgarDrawVasco da Gama
42.78% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 26.42% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 30.81% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)53.03% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01)74.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (0.052999999999997 0.05)24.57% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94% (0.07 0.07)59.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)31.68% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)68.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Melgar 42.77%
    Vasco da Gama 30.81%
    Draw 26.41%
MelgarDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.81%

Who will win Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Melgar and Vasco?

Melgar
Draw
Vasco da Gama
Melgar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Vasco da Gama
0.0%
1
rhs 2.0
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