Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Defensor1 - 0Puerto Cabello
FT(HT: 1-0)
Puerto Cabello win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Defensor Sporting and Academia Puerto Cabello.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 3-2 Defensor
Wednesday, February 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 3-2 Defensor
Wednesday, February 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academia Puerto Cabello win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Academia Puerto Cabello win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
34.81% ( 0.01) | 28.73% ( 0) | 36.46% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.62% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
