MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:12:05| >> :600:285833:285833:
Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
3 - 0
Calcio Padova

Botta (8'), Cheddira (15', 90+1')
(18')
FT(HT: 2-0)

(53')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Bari and Calcio Padova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

Last Six:
    Last Game: Cittadella 2-2 Bari
    Sunday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A Playoffs

    Calcio Padova

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Calcio Padova 0-2 Alessandria
      Sunday, August 8 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

      Result
      BariDrawCalcio Padova
      37.8% (0.078000000000003 0.08) 27.83% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 34.38% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
      Both teams to score 48.22% (0.064 0.06)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      42.32% (0.081000000000003 0.08)57.68% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      21.56% (0.065000000000001 0.07)78.44% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
      Bari Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      70.52% (0.087000000000003 0.09)29.48% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      34.51% (0.105 0.11)65.49% (-0.104 -0.1)
      Calcio Padova Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      68.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      31.97% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)68.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
      Score Analysis
          Bari 37.79%
          Calcio Padova 34.37%
          Draw 27.83%
      BariDrawCalcio Padova
      1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      2-1 @ 8.01% (0.014 0.01)
      2-0 @ 6.95% (0.011 0.01)
      3-1 @ 3.26% (0.014 0.01)
      3-0 @ 2.83% (0.011 0.01)
      3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
      4-1 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
      Other @ 2.49%
      Total : 37.79%
      		1-1 @ 13.11%
      0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
      2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      Other @ 0.79%
      Total : 27.83%
      		0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
      1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
      1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
      2-3 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
      Other @ 2.88%
      Total : 34.37%

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