MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 20:21:50| >> :600:454205:454205:
Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
3 - 0
Calcio Padova

Botta (8'), Cheddira (15', 90+1')
(18')
FT(HT: 2-0)

(53')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Bari and Calcio Padova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cittadella 2-2 Bari
Sunday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A Playoffs
Last Game: Calcio Padova 0-2 Alessandria
Sunday, August 8 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
BariDrawCalcio Padova
37.8% (0.078000000000003 0.08) 27.83% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 34.38% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.22% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.32% (0.081000000000003 0.08)57.68% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.56% (0.065000000000001 0.07)78.44% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.087000000000003 0.09)29.48% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (0.105 0.11)65.49% (-0.104 -0.1)
Calcio Padova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)68.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bari 37.79%
    Calcio Padova 34.37%
    Draw 27.83%
BariDrawCalcio Padova
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.37%

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