Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 5, 2022 at 4.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari3 - 2Perugia
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Cagliari and Perugia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 6-2 Cagliari
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Brescia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Brescia 3-2 Perugia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie B
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Perugia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Perugia |
29.88% ( -1.19) | 24.94% ( -0.87) | 45.17% ( 2.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 2.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( 3.2) | 47.28% ( -3.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( 2.9) | 69.5% ( -2.9) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( 0.79) | 29.4% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.61% ( 0.96) | 65.39% ( -0.96) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 2.31) | 20.97% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.27% ( 3.49) | 53.73% ( -3.49) |
| Score Analysis |
Cagliari 29.88%
Perugia 45.17%
Draw 24.94%
| Cagliari | Draw | Perugia |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.87) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.86)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.45)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.33)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.29)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.21)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.17% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs Perugia
Cagliari
66.7%Draw
16.7%Perugia
16.7%12
