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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
Inter logo

Cagliari
1 - 3
Inter Milan

FT(HT: 0-1)
Darmian (25'), Martinez (51', 84')
Darmian (37'), Calhanoglu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-2 Inter Milan

Following a 4-0 win in December's reverse fixture at San Siro, Inter are set to complete the double over Cagliari, as they carry over momentum from their Coppa Italia triumph. With a winnable game remaining on the final day, the hosts may still have a shot at redemption next week, but they have lost half of their home fixtures to this point and are particularly vulnerable defensively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 0-3 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawInter Milan
10.2% (1.346 1.35) 16.26% (1.016 1.02) 73.54% (-2.362 -2.36)
Both teams to score 49.64% (1.875 1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.503 -0.5)37.76% (0.502 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (-0.535 -0.54)60.01% (0.535 0.54)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.46% (2.426 2.43)45.54% (-2.427 -2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.64% (1.848 1.85)81.36% (-1.847 -1.85)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (-0.649 -0.65)8.85% (0.6499 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.69% (-1.601 -1.6)30.32% (1.601 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 10.2%
    Inter Milan 73.53%
    Draw 16.26%
CagliariDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 3.17% (0.281 0.28)
2-1 @ 3.02% (0.369 0.37)
2-0 @ 1.25% (0.185 0.19)
3-2 @ 0.96% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 10.2%
1-1 @ 7.69% (0.459 0.46)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.344 0.34)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.26%
0-2 @ 11.84% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-3 @ 9.58% (-0.674 -0.67)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.28 0.28)
1-3 @ 7.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 5.8% (-0.611 -0.61)
1-4 @ 4.57% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.194 0.19)
0-5 @ 2.81% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-5 @ 2.21% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.8% (0.064 0.06)
0-6 @ 1.14% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 73.53%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Inter Milan

Cagliari
13.2%
Draw
11.0%
Inter Milan
75.8%
91
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-0
Cagliari
Martinez (29', 68'), Sanchez (50'), Calhanoglu (66')
Martinez (33')

Cragno (43'), Deiola (76')
Apr 11, 2021 11.30am
Dec 13, 2020 11.30am
Cagliari
1-3
Inter Milan
Sottil (42')
Farago (10'), Pavoletti (71')
Barella (77'), D'Ambrosio (84'), Lukaku (90+4')
Darmian (16')
Jan 26, 2020 11.30am
Inter Milan
1-1
Cagliari
Martinez (29')
Lukaku (45'), Barella (61'), de Vrij (83'), Martinez (94')
Martinez (95'), Berni (95')
Nainggolan (78')
Maran (32')
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Lukaku (1', 49'), Valero (22'), Ranocchia (81')
Godin (65'), Sensi (94')
Oliva (73')
Lykogiannis (46')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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