MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:41:19| >> :600:435187:435187:
Inter logo
Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Atalanta logo

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Atalanta

Darmian (57')
Gosens (32'), Martinez (82'), Correa (90+1'), Onana (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Soppy (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Sampdoria
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-2 Atalanta BC (after extra time)

 Atalanta are in a free-scoring mood, and we expect them to continue their impressive form in front of goal against Inter. However, after conceding at least two goals in each of their last three competitive away games, they may struggle to keep Inter at bay, and although we an entertaining game will finish level after 90 minutes, we believe that the hosts will edge out Atalanta in extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
49.41% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05) 24.15% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.44% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (0.030999999999999 0.03)45.97% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (0.030999999999999 0.03)68.28% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.67% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (0.054000000000002 0.05)31.26% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (0.064 0.06)67.61% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 49.41%
    Atalanta BC 26.44%
    Draw 24.15%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 49.41%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 26.44%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atalanta

Inter Milan
59.4%
Draw
21.3%
Atalanta BC
19.3%
202
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
de Vrij (74')
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Atalanta
0-0
Inter Milan

de Roon (37'), Luis Palomino (84')

Brozovic (42'), Calhanoglu (62')
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Mar 8, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Skriniar (54')
Conte (12')

Romero (59')
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Atalanta
1-1
Inter Milan
Miranchuk (79')
Djimsiti (33')
Martinez (58')
Martinez (30'), de Vrij (44'), Vidal (70')
rhs 2.0
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