We said: Inter Milan 3-2 Atalanta BC (after extra time)
Atalanta are in a free-scoring mood, and we expect them to continue their impressive form in front of goal against Inter.
However, after conceding at least two goals in each of their last three competitive away games, they may struggle to keep Inter at bay, and although we an entertaining game will finish level after 90 minutes, we believe that the hosts will edge out Atalanta in extra time.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.