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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Inter logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Inter Milan

Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
de Vrij (74'), Skriniar (85'), Onana (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 6-1 Bologna
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 Inter Milan

Atalanta have endured a tough year on home soil and often come up just short against Serie A's top sides. As Inter have just smashed Bologna and - Lukaku aside - are almost at full strength, they can close out the first part of their campaign with a win against their fellow Nerazzuri. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
42.4% (1.352 1.35) 24.09% (-0.11 -0.11) 33.5% (-1.246 -1.25)
Both teams to score 60.42% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.21400000000001 0.21)41.93% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.214 0.21)64.34% (-0.217 -0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.702 0.7)19.99% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (1.119 1.12)52.16% (-1.121 -1.12)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.605 -0.61)24.49% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.06% (-0.858 -0.86)58.94% (0.856 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 42.4%
    Inter Milan 33.51%
    Draw 24.08%
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.144 0.14)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.179 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.184 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.102 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Inter Milan

Atalanta BC
21.6%
Draw
17.2%
Inter Milan
61.3%
204
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Mar 8, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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