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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Atalanta logo

Spezia
2 - 2
Atalanta

Gyasi (8'), N'Zola (31')
Kiwior (49'), Ampadu (56'), Nikolaou (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hojlund (77'), Pasalic (90+2')
Lookman (45+7'), Zappacosta (58'), Koopmeiners (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Spezia
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, November 13 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Atalanta BC

Although Spezia head into this fixture in far better form than their more illustrious opponents, the break came at the wrong time for the home side. Atalanta have had chance to reset, and we feel that the visitors will come through this game with a hard-earned win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
19.84% (1.83 1.83) 22.22% (1.246 1.25) 57.94% (-3.077 -3.08)
Both teams to score 53.97% (-0.863 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (-2.754 -2.75)44.59% (2.752 2.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (-2.718 -2.72)66.96% (2.716 2.72)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (0.367 0.37)36.42% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (0.369 0.37)73.21% (-0.369 -0.37)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (-1.861 -1.86)15.11% (1.859 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.34% (-3.632 -3.63)43.66% (3.631 3.63)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 19.84%
    Atalanta BC 57.93%
    Draw 22.22%
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 5.56% (0.683 0.68)
2-1 @ 5.31% (0.379 0.38)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.37 0.37)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 19.84%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.649 0.65)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.629 0.63)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.22%
0-1 @ 10.39% (0.539 0.54)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.83% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.25% (-0.455 -0.46)
0-3 @ 6.19% (-0.517 -0.52)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-4 @ 2.96% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-4 @ 2.93% (-0.465 -0.47)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-5 @ 1.12% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-5 @ 1.11% (-0.264 -0.26)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 57.93%

How you voted: Spezia vs Atalanta

Spezia
Draw
Atalanta BC
Spezia
16.5%
Draw
9.9%
Atalanta BC
73.6%
91
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 11.30am
Spezia
1-3
Atalanta
Verde (30')
Bastoni (41'), Maggiore (44')
Muriel (16'), Djimsiti (73'), Pasalic (87')
Malinovskyi (53'), Freuler (57'), Muriel (62')
Nov 20, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
5-2
Spezia
Pasalic (18', 41'), Zapata (38' pen.), Muriel (83'), Malinovskyi (89')
Koopmeiners (10'), Pasalic (71')
N'Zola (11', 90+1')
Gyasi (5'), Sala (36'), Hristov (49')
Mar 12, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
3-1
Spezia
Pasalic (54', 73'), Muriel (55')
Toloi (8'), de Roon (25')
Piccoli (82')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Spezia
0-0
Atalanta

Ricci (3'), Estevez (28'), Terzi (65')

Gosens (38'), Pasalic (52'), Pessina (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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