Coppa Italia | Second Round
Dec 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Friuli
Udinese4 - 0Crotone
We said: Udinese 2-0 Crotone
Crotone are on a wretched run of results and cannot buy a win at the moment, and while Udinese have also had struggles of their own, we fancy the home team to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Crotone |
| 44.29% | 23.82% | 31.89% |
| Both teams to score 60.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
