Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
