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Venezia
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 7, 2022 at 4.45pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 3
Ascoli

Rafn Mikaelsson (88', 89')
Jacques Jean Remy (42'), Sandberg (51'), Hasanbegovic (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Saric (36'), Falzerano (70'), Fontana (90+1')
Lungoyi (33')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Venezia and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Benevento
Friday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Venezia win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawAscoli
32.94% (0.633 0.63) 24.1% (-0.187 -0.19) 42.95% (-0.443 -0.44)
Both teams to score 60.16% (0.929 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (1.108 1.11)42.19% (-1.103 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41% (1.101 1.1)64.59% (-1.096 -1.1)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.914 0.91)24.94% (-0.91 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (1.251 1.25)59.57% (-1.248 -1.25)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (0.26600000000001 0.27)19.85% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.425 0.42)51.95% (-0.421 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 32.94%
    Ascoli 42.95%
    Draw 24.1%
VeneziaDrawAscoli
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.088 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 8% (-0.334 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.95%

How you voted: Venezia vs Ascoli

Venezia
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Ascoli
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Ascoli
1-1
Venezia
Bajic (87')
Brosco (13'), Saric (28'), Danzi (37'), Bidaoui (50')
Brosco (59')
Fiordilino (48')
Ceccaroni (24')
Nov 28, 2020 1pm
Venezia
2-1
Ascoli
Aramu (55'), Fiordilino (68')
Mazzocchi (17'), Maleh (52'), Fiordilino (90+1')
Pucino (14')
Cavion (23'), Brosco (46'), Gerbo (87')
Brosco (89')
Jun 26, 2020 8pm
Venezia
2-1
Ascoli
Aramu (8'), Firenze (66')
Molinaro (64'), Caligara (73')
Scamacca (24')
Brlek (6'), Cavion (53'), Troiano (64'), Gravillon (89')
Nov 2, 2019 2pm
Ascoli
1-1
Venezia
Da Cruz (70' pen.)
Ninkovic (33'), Pucino (74')
Zigoni (87')
Fiordilino (28'), Modolo (58'), Maleh (69'), Ceccaroni (82')
Apr 22, 2019 8pm
Ascoli
1-0
Venezia
Ardemagni (36' pen.)
Casarini (75'), Ciciretti (75')

Zampano (52'), Vrioni (61'), Modolo (75')
rhs 2.0
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