Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu win with a probability of 62.5%. A win for Thouars had a probability of 18.97% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Thouars win was 1-2 (4.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu would win this match.
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