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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
Cheltenham Town

Gillingham
2 - 2
Cheltenham

Clarke (24'), Lapslie (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Young (36'), Miller (60')
Jude-Boyd (32'), Bakare (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Cheltenham Town

Given that Cheltenham have scored in all of their away league games this season, and have scored two in each of their last three matches, it is likely they will score again on Friday. However, Gillingham's defensive strength may limit the visitors' offensive output, and it is hard to see anything other than a hard-fought stalemate in this week's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
45.79% (0.745 0.74) 26.33% (0.041 0.04) 27.87% (-0.785 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.619 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (-0.561 -0.56)54.04% (0.564 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.472 -0.47)75.47% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.11199999999999 0.11)23.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (0.161 0.16)57.59% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (-0.904 -0.9)34.4% (0.908 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (-0.979 -0.98)71.11% (0.982 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 45.79%
    Cheltenham Town 27.87%
    Draw 26.33%
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.238 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 27.87%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Cheltenham

Gillingham
53.3%
Draw
40.0%
Cheltenham Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cheltenham
2-2
Gillingham
Wright (40'), Etete (78')
Hutchinson (57'), Long (85')
Oliver (14'), Reeves (59')
Oliver (88')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Gillingham
0-2
Cheltenham

Ehmer (53')
Long (30'), May (60')
Flinders (69')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cheltenham
1-0
Gillingham
Pollock (11')
Joseph (87')

Tucker (54'), O'Keefe (80'), Ehmer (81')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
First Round
Gillingham
1-1
Cheltenham
Sithole (59')
Jackson (36'), Tucker (90')
Pollock (34')
Chapman (54'), Long (84')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Gillingham
1-1
Cheltenham
(Aggregate 1-1 | Cheltenham win 5-4 on penalties)
Oliver (20')
May (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall402012870462472
2Bradford CityBradford4020101052341870
3Port Vale401913851381370
4Notts County4019111061392268
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster3919101059461367
6AFC Wimbledon4018111153312265
7Grimsby Town40195165457-362
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe40151694739861
9Colchester UnitedColchester40141794840859
10Chesterfield3916101361451658
11Salford City391512124844457
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood401414125749856
13Bromley401314135251153
14Swindon TownSwindon401215135757051
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham401311165159-850
16BarrowBarrow401310174447-349
17Newport CountyNewport40138194965-1647
18MK Dons40137205162-1146
19Gillingham391112163341-845
20Harrogate TownHarrogate40129193351-1845
21Accrington StanleyAccrington401012184659-1342
22Tranmere RoversTranmere40913183258-2640
23Morecambe40106243657-2136
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle40710233161-3031


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