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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
Cheltenham Town

Gillingham
2 - 2
Cheltenham

Clarke (24'), Lapslie (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Young (36'), Miller (60')
Jude-Boyd (32'), Bakare (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Cheltenham Town

Given that Cheltenham have scored in all of their away league games this season, and have scored two in each of their last three matches, it is likely they will score again on Friday. However, Gillingham's defensive strength may limit the visitors' offensive output, and it is hard to see anything other than a hard-fought stalemate in this week's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
45.79% (0.745 0.74) 26.33% (0.041 0.04) 27.87% (-0.785 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.619 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (-0.561 -0.56)54.04% (0.564 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.472 -0.47)75.47% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.11199999999999 0.11)23.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (0.161 0.16)57.59% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (-0.904 -0.9)34.4% (0.908 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (-0.979 -0.98)71.11% (0.982 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 45.79%
    Cheltenham Town 27.87%
    Draw 26.33%
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.238 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 27.87%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Cheltenham

Gillingham
53.3%
Draw
40.0%
Cheltenham Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cheltenham
2-2
Gillingham
Wright (40'), Etete (78')
Hutchinson (57'), Long (85')
Oliver (14'), Reeves (59')
Oliver (88')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Gillingham
0-2
Cheltenham

Ehmer (53')
Long (30'), May (60')
Flinders (69')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cheltenham
1-0
Gillingham
Pollock (11')
Joseph (87')

Tucker (54'), O'Keefe (80'), Ehmer (81')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
First Round
Gillingham
1-1
Cheltenham
Sithole (59')
Jackson (36'), Tucker (90')
Pollock (34')
Chapman (54'), Long (84')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Gillingham
1-1
Cheltenham
(Aggregate 1-1 | Cheltenham win 5-4 on penalties)
Oliver (20')
May (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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