Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 53.02%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.75%) and 1-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong AZ in this match.