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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Luton Town

QPR
2 - 1
Luton

Frey (24'), Fox (62')
Varane (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGuinness (45+2')
Chong (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 3-1 Watford
Wednesday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Luton Town

QPR have won each of their last four home matches, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to take three points off their struggling opponents, who have lost each of their previous nine away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
46.2% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 50.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)75.4% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.012 0.01)23.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)57.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.012 0.01)34.63% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.2%
    Luton Town 27.53%
    Draw 26.26%
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.53%

How you voted: QPR vs Luton

Queens Park Rangers
76.2%
Draw
14.6%
Luton Town
9.3%
151
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
1-2
QPR
Dunne (18' og.)
Chong (2'), Doughty (48'), Clark (79')
Madsen (59'), Frey (62')
Cook (30'), Field (51')
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | QPR win 4-1 on penalties)
Santos (11')
Santos (33'), Colback (49'), Celar (84')
Nelson (16')
Walters (40'), Morris (72')
Dec 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
QPR
0-3
Luton
Morris (10', 47'), Doughty (81')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
QPR
Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Horvath (90+1' og.)
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 37
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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