MX23RW : Wednesday, February 5 18:31:13| >> :60:159:159:
Inter logo
Supercoppa Italiana | Final
Jan 6, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium
Milan logo

Inter Milan
2 - 3
AC Milan

Martinez (45+1'), Taremi (47')
Mkhitaryan (51'), Dumfries (54'), Barella (72'), Bastoni (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hernandez (52'), Pulisic (80'), Abraham (90+3')
Tomori (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Supercoppa Italiana final between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Thursday, January 2 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Juventus 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, January 3 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan

One extra day of rest for Inter could prove crucial, as they already have a deeper squad than their city rivals and come into this final in much better form. Milan are still brittle, with several players operating below their best, so the black-and-blue side of the city should celebrate a record-equalling Supercoppa number nine. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
53.65%23.42%22.93%
Both teams to score 54.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98%46.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67%68.32%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91%17.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.72%47.27%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77%34.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07%70.92%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 53.65%
    AC Milan 22.93%
    Draw 23.41%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.13%
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-0 @ 5.38%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 53.65%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 5.85%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.27%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 22.93%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
73.7%
Draw
14.7%
Winner Semi-final 2
11.5%
156
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Dimarco (28')
Mkhitaryan (19'), Calhanoglu (40'), Inzaghi (68'), Asllani (86'), Dimarco (88')
Pulisic (10'), Gabbia (89')
Fofana (38')
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
1-2
Inter Milan
Tomori (80')
Hernandez (36'), Tomori (90+2'), Gabbia (90')
Hernandez (90+3'), Calabria (90+7')
Acerbi (18'), Thuram (49')
Barella (22'), Inzaghi (23'), Martinez (32')
Dumfries (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
5-1
AC Milan
Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
Leao (57')
Thiaw (24'), Hernandez (61')
May 16, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Martinez (74')
Barella (79'), Martinez (81')

Thiaw (56'), Tonali (79'), Tomori (81'), Krunic (81')
May 10, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-2
Inter Milan
Dzeko (8'), Mkhitaryan (11')
rhs 2.0
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