Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.