Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TOP Oss would win this match.

Result
TOP Oss	Draw	Jong PSV
41.8% ( 0.72)	24.97% ( -0.01)	33.24% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 57.21% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92% (

-0.16)

46.08% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

-0.15)

68.39% (

0.15)

TOP Oss Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.98% (

0.28)

22.02% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.66% (

0.42)

55.34% (

-0.42)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

-0.51)

26.63% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14% (

-0.67)

61.87% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

TOP Oss 41.8%

Jong PSV 33.24%

Draw 24.97%

TOP Oss	Draw	Jong PSV
2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.24%