Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.