Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
