Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 31

Mar 23, 2024 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
2 - 0
VVV-Venlo

Hilterman (19'), Ketting (47' og.)
St Jago (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Janssen (16')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and VVV-Venlo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Den Bosch 1-4 Willem II
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

VVV-Venlo

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 VVV-Venlo
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 71.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Willem II in this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	VVV-Venlo
71.71% ( 0.41)	16.38% ( -0.18)	11.91% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 55.7% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.84% (

0.26)

33.15% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.1% (

0.3)

54.9% (

-0.29)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.88% (

0.15)

8.12% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.49% (

0.38)

28.51% (

-0.37)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.63% (

-0.19)

39.37% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.93% (

-0.18)

76.07% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Willem II 71.7%

VVV-Venlo 11.91%

Draw 16.38%

Willem II	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 71.7%	1-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.38%	1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 11.91%