Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | First Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
De Koel
VVV-Venlo3 - 2Willem II
Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs First Round clash between VVV-Venlo and Willem II.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
55
Last Game: Roda JC 2-2 Willem II
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Willem II |
24.83% ( 0.09) | 24.32% ( 0.03) | 50.86% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
