EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Last 16

Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 2
Brentford

Sawyers (57')
Skiri Oestigaard (52')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Canos (22'), Toney (40')
Ghoddos (76')

Brentford reach EFL Cup last eight with win at Stoke City

Brentford book their place in the quarter-finals of the EFL Cup thanks to a 2-1 away win over Stoke City in the round of 16 on Wednesday.

Oct 27, 23:02

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Brentford
32.74%	27.91%	39.36%

Both teams to score 47.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.8%

58.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16%

78.84%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01%

32.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43%

69.58%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19%

28.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33%

64.67%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 32.74%

Brentford 39.35%

Draw 27.9%

Stoke City	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.74%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.35%