MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 09:56:43| >> :120:36331:36331:
Stoke logo
EFL Cup | Last 16
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Brentford logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Brentford

Sawyers (57')
Skiri Oestigaard (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Canos (22'), Toney (40')
Ghoddos (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
32.74%27.91%39.36%
Both teams to score 47.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01%32.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.58%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19%28.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33%64.67%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 32.74%
    Brentford 39.35%
    Draw 27.9%
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.82%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 39.35%

How you voted: Stoke vs Brentford

Stoke City
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Brentford
63.0%
173
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Brentford
2-1
Stoke
Janelt (56'), Toney (79')
Dasilva (18')
Brown (1')
Thompson (25'), Norrington-Davies (35'), Allen (68')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
3-2
Brentford
Fletcher (9'), McClean (35'), Campbell (59')
Fletcher (81'), Oakley-Boothe (88')
Forss (70', 90+1')
Toney (40')
Jul 18, 2020 12.30pm
Jan 4, 2020 3.01pm
Third Round
Brentford
1-0
Stoke
Marcondes (43')
Daniels (90')

Campbell (43')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Brentford
0-0
Stoke
Benrahma (79')
Gregory (22'), McClean (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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