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Stoke logo
EFL Cup | Last 16
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Brentford logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Brentford

Sawyers (57')
Skiri Oestigaard (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Canos (22'), Toney (40')
Ghoddos (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
32.74%27.91%39.36%
Both teams to score 47.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01%32.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.58%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19%28.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33%64.67%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 32.74%
    Brentford 39.35%
    Draw 27.9%
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.82%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 39.35%

How you voted: Stoke vs Brentford

Stoke City
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Brentford
63.0%
173
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Brentford
2-1
Stoke
Janelt (56'), Toney (79')
Dasilva (18')
Brown (1')
Thompson (25'), Norrington-Davies (35'), Allen (68')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
3-2
Brentford
Fletcher (9'), McClean (35'), Campbell (59')
Fletcher (81'), Oakley-Boothe (88')
Forss (70', 90+1')
Toney (40')
Jul 18, 2020 12.30pm
Jan 4, 2020 3.01pm
Third Round
Brentford
1-0
Stoke
Marcondes (43')
Daniels (90')

Campbell (43')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Brentford
0-0
Stoke
Benrahma (79')
Gregory (22'), McClean (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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