Championship

Championship | Gameweek 14

Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 1
Stoke

Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
35.89%	28.37%	35.73%

Both teams to score 46.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.39%

59.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.06%

79.94%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38%

31.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97%

68.02%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28%

31.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.86%

68.14%

Score Analysis

Millwall 35.88%

Stoke City 35.73%

Draw 28.36%

Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.88%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.36%	0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.73%