Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and Arsenal Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
69.18% | 18.76% | 12.06% |
Both teams to score 47.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.81% | 44.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.43% | 66.57% |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% | 11.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.31% | 36.69% |
Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.58% | 46.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.96% | 82.04% |
Score Analysis |
Newport County 69.17%
Arsenal Under-21s 12.06%
Draw 18.76%
Newport County | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
2-0 @ 12.49% 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.87% 4-0 @ 4.82% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.07% 5-1 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.41% Total : 69.17% | 1-1 @ 8.92% 0-0 @ 5.41% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.76% | 0-1 @ 4.15% 1-2 @ 3.42% 0-2 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.95% Total : 12.06% |
How you voted: Newport vs Arsenal U21s
Newport County
50.0%Draw
37.5%Arsenal Under-21s
12.5%8
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-05 16:16:30
Friday, July 5
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Netherlands
vs.
Turkey
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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