Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.1%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
