Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.