We said: SK Brann 2-0 HamKam
Brann put third-tier opposition to the sword on Wednesday night in the cup, and the hosts should be confident of firing plenty of goals past the Eliteserien's poorest defence.
HamKam have lost all five of their away league matches so far this term, conceding 20 goals in the process, meaning even the most optimistic supporters will not be expecting a result on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 82.17%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 5.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.42%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a HamKam win it was 0-1 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.