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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Brann Stadion
Lillestrom

Brann
2 - 2
Lillestrom

Heltne Nilsen (57' pen.), Castro (60')
Borsting (70'), Myhre (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Edh (24'), Tonnessen (73')
Garnas (36'), Edh (55'), Skogvold (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between SK Brann and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aalesund 1-3 Brann
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 Stabaek
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: SK Brann 3-0 Lillestrom

In addition to winning six of their previous seven matches, Brann have scored 28 goals in the process, averaging more than four goals per game since losing to Sarpsborg 08 last month. With that in mind, we expect the high-flying hosts to make light work of Lillestrom, who have managed to keep just two clean sheets in nine league outings this season, conceding 14 goals along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
SK BrannDrawLillestrom
60.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.35% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 19.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.74% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)36.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)58.79% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)11.84% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)37.1% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.23% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.72% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    SK Brann 60.25%
    Lillestrom 19.4%
    Draw 20.35%
SK BrannDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 60.25%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 19.4%

How you voted: Brann vs Lillestrom

SK Brann
95.0%
Draw
5.0%
Lillestrom
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 5pm
gameweek 18
Lillestrom
2-3
Brann
Garnas (59'), Lehne Olsen (71')
Garnas (39')
Taylor (17'), Finne (65'), Heggebo (74')
Pallesen Knudsen (34')
Jun 30, 2021 7pm
gameweek 8
Brann
1-1
Lillestrom
Bamba (58')
Lehne Olsen (87')
Ranger (68')
Sep 1, 2019 5pm
gameweek 20
Lillestrom
1-3
Brann
Rafn (22')
Maric (42'), Lehne Olsen (53'), Kind Mikalsen (73'), Smarason (87')
Tamm (13' og.), Yttergard Jenssen (34'), Rolantsson (51')
Kristiansen (88'), Wormgoor (94')
Jun 23, 2019 7pm
gameweek 12
Brann
1-0
Lillestrom
Koomson (73')

Pedersen (51')
Oct 7, 2018 7pm
gameweek 25
Brann
1-1
Lillestrom
Teniste (64')
Odemarksbakken (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt30188471314062
2SK BrannBrann30178555332259
3Viking FKViking FK30169561392257
4RosenborgRosenborg30165952391353
5MoldeMolde30157864362852
6Fredrikstad3014973935451
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset30108123240-838
8KFUM OsloKFUM30910113536-137
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg30107134355-1237
10SandefjordSandefjord3097144146-534
11KristiansundKristiansund30810123245-1334
12HamKam3089133439-533
13Tromso ILTromso3096153444-1033
14FK HaugesundHaugesund3096152946-1733
15Lillestrom3073203363-3024
16Odd3058172654-2823


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