Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.39%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 0-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.