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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Basel
Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 6pm UK
St. Jakob-Park

Basel
2 - 0
CSKA Sofia

Frei (66'), Lang (84')
Burger (53'), Pelmard (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mattheij (4'), Petrov (45+2'), Busatto (49'), Vion (53'), Bamba (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Basel and CSKA Sofia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

Last Six:
Last Game: CSKA Sofia 1-0 Basel
Thursday, August 18 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

CSKA Sofia

Last Six:
    Last Game: CSKA Sofia 1-0 Basel
    Thursday, August 18 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

    We said: Basel 2-0 CSKA Sofia (Basel win 2-1 on aggregate)

     CSKA Sofia performed admirably to take a lead in their home leg and will be desperate to stay ahead, but we see the hosts having slightly too much and overturning the deficit in Switzerland. Even without their players on top form so far this season, Frei will expect to see them outclass the Bulgarian visitors and book their spot in the group stage before the need for extra time. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 23.13%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a CSKA Sofia win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Basel in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Basel.

    Result
    BaselDrawCSKA Sofia
    50.65% (-0.125 -0.13) 26.22% (0.044 0.04) 23.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
    Both teams to score 46.42% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    43.15% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)56.85% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    22.22% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)77.78% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
    Basel Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.47% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)22.53% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    43.89% (-0.144 -0.14)56.1% (0.146 0.15)
    CSKA Sofia Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    59.91% (0.020000000000003 0.02)40.08% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    23.27% (0.017999999999997 0.02)76.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
    Score Analysis
        Basel 50.64%
        CSKA Sofia 23.13%
        Draw 26.21%
    BaselDrawCSKA Sofia
    1-0 @ 13.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
    3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
    3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
    3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
    4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
    4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
    Other @ 2.82%
    Total : 50.64%
    		1-1 @ 12.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
    0-0 @ 9.03% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
    2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
    Other @ 0.69%
    Total : 26.21%
    		0-1 @ 8.26% (0.035 0.04)
    1-2 @ 5.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
    0-2 @ 3.77% (0.018 0.02)
    1-3 @ 1.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
    Other @ 1.34%
    Total : 23.13%

    How you voted: Basel vs CSKA Sofia

    Basel
    77.5%
    Draw
    8.5%
    CSKA Sofia
    14.1%
    71
    Head to Head
    Aug 18, 2022 6pm
    CSKA Sofia
    1-0
    Basel
    Lopez (70' og.)
    Turitsov (73'), Vion (82')

    Adams (23'), Amdouni (30'), Diouf (81'), Lopez (85')
    Oct 1, 2020 7.30pm
    Basel
    1-3
    CSKA Sofia
    Arthur (54' pen.)
    Padula (49'), Alderete (87'), Comert (90+5')
    Rodrigues (72', 88'), Ahmedov (90+7')
    Geferson (45'), Galabov (58'), Mazikou (65'), Sankhare (75'), Youga (90+5'), Keita (90+7')
    rhs 2.0
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