Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Balgarska Armia Stadium
![Roma logo Roma logo](https://sm.imgix.net/19/06/romlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
CSKA Sofia2 - 3Roma
We said: CSKA Sofia 1-3 Roma
Looking to avoid two extra games next year, Mourinho and his squad will want to put on a performance in Bulgaria. While there will inevitably be some changes, we still expect a strong performance and comfortable win for the Italian outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.4%) and 0-1 (5.13%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
CSKA Sofia | Draw | Roma |
34.5% | 21.71% | 43.79% |
Both teams to score 69.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.2% | 29.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.05% | 50.95% |
CSKA Sofia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% | 18.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.62% | 49.38% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.47% | 14.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.44% | 42.56% |
Score Analysis |
CSKA Sofia 34.5%
Roma 43.79%
Draw 21.71%
CSKA Sofia | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 7.4% 1-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 4.04% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.72% 4-3 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.5% | 1-1 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 7.13% 0-0 @ 2.66% 3-3 @ 2.6% Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 8.4% 1-3 @ 5.4% 0-1 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 4.95% 2-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 1.53% 3-4 @ 1.25% 1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.53% Total : 43.79% |
How you voted: CSKA Sofia vs Roma
CSKA Sofia
19.0%Draw
8.6%Roma
72.4%58
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Roma
5-1
CSKA Sofia
Dec 10, 2020 5.55pm
Oct 29, 2020 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 21:24:12
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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2
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3
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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