Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Rijeka1 - 2Djurgarden
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between HNK Rijeka and Djurgardens IF.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Djurgarden 5-0 Varnamo
Saturday, July 16 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Saturday, July 16 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Djurgardens IF | 15 | 23 | 30 |
| 2 | Hacken | 13 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 14 | 6 | 28 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
26.64% ( 0.06) | 24.34% ( -0) | 49.02% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.35% ( 0.05) | 46.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( 0.04) | 68.91% ( -0.05) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( 0.07) | 31.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.16% ( 0.08) | 67.84% ( -0.08) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( -0.01) | 19.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.3% ( -0.01) | 50.7% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
HNK Rijeka 26.64%
Djurgardens IF 49.02%
Draw 24.34%
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.64% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 49.02% |
How you voted: Rijeka vs Djurgarden
HNK Rijeka
37.5%Draw
12.5%Djurgardens IF
50.0%8
