MX23RW : Thursday, March 13 01:34:08| >> :120:36104:36104:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Nice
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Basel

Nice
1 - 2
Basel

Laborde (9')
Dante (38'), Boudaoui (55'), Bard (59'), Ramsey (90+4'), Pepe (90+6'), Thuram (105+1')
FT
(aet)
Augustin (86'), Nuhu (98')
Ndoye (32'), Lang (115')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Nice and Basel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Nice
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Basel

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 1-1 Young Boys
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

We say: Nice 2-1 Basel

 Nice have scored in every European fixture this season, but they are still yet to keep a clean sheet at the Riviera on the continent, so a similar scoreline to last week's 2-2 draw could be on the cards. Basel's last three UECL fixtures have finished 2-2, and a repeat of that - the route in which they navigated through their last 16 tie with Slovan Bratislava, going through on penalties - may be their best hope. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Basel had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%).

Result
NiceDrawBasel
52.44% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 23.11% (-0.02 -0.02) 24.46% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.4% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.92% (0.046999999999997 0.05)43.08% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.52% (0.045999999999999 0.05)65.48% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.049999999999997 0.05)16.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.082999999999998 0.08)46.14% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)31.3% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)67.66% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nice 52.44%
    Basel 24.46%
    Draw 23.1%
NiceDrawBasel
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.46%

How you voted: Nice vs Basel

Nice
80.4%
Draw
12.0%
Basel
7.6%
92
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Basel
2-2
Nice
Amdouni (26' pen., 71')
Lopez (79')
Moffi (38', 45+1')
Amraoui (17'), Todibo (24')
rhs 2.0
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