We said: FC Pyunik 1-2 Basel
With so much on the line heading into this game, it is no doubt going to be an intense and competitive one from the first minute.
Pyunik might have the home advantage here, but the attacking qualities of Basel should be enough to see them just earn a place in the knockout stages of this competition.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Basel win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Basel in this match.