Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Brewery Field
Pen-y-Bont1 - 1Santa Coloma
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Pen-y-Bont and FC Santa Coloma.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, July 1 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 1 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Santa Coloma 1-2 Hibernian
Thursday, July 29 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 29 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Aberystwyth | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Bala Town | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Barry | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Cardiff MU | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Connah's Quay | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Haverfordwest | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Newtown | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | nan | |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 0 | nan | |
| 12 | New Saints | 0 | nan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Santa Coloma win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Santa Coloma win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | FC Santa Coloma |
35.7% ( 0.69) | 25.32% ( 0.19) | 38.98% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
