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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Bala Town logo

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 2
Bala Town

Clutton (4'), Owen (88')
Borge (69'), Yorwerth (69'), Nalatche Mendes (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nalatche Mendes (61')
Kay (68'), Nalatche Mendes (86'), Peate (86')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawBala Town
40.5% (0.031000000000006 0.03) 25.19% (-0.029 -0.03) 34.31% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 56.73% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.13 0.13)46.83% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (0.123 0.12)69.09% (-0.122 -0.12)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.97% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.105 0.11)56.76% (-0.105 -0.11)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (0.061000000000007 0.06)26.34% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.52% (0.082999999999998 0.08)61.48% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 40.5%
    Bala Town 34.31%
    Draw 25.19%
Pen-y-BontDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.31%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Bala Town
0-0
Pen-y-Bont

Peate (58'), Venables (86')
Peate (71')

Yorwerth (58'), Little (58')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Bala Town
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Wall (62')
Georgievsky (11')
Kavanagh (40')
Aug 14, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Bala Town
Kavanagh (58', 63')
Little (90+1')
Snaith (78')

Smith (45+1'), Nalatche Mendes (85'), Edwards (85')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Bala Town
11-0
Pen-y-Bont
Kay (19'), Spittle (83', 84', 84', 85'), Ebbe (30', 47'), Evans (31'), Nalatche Mendes (34', 69'), Rutherford (52', 80'), Bauress (66')
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-5
Bala Town

Jefferies (66'), Reynolds (68'), Borge (75')
Evans (23', 24', 56'), Venables (30'), Ebbe (90+1', 90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints14110341142733
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
12Briton Ferry1422101529-148


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