Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase
Sarajevo2 - 3Aktobe
Guliashvili (57'), Oliveira (96')
Dordevic (52'), Rockov (73'), Durickovic (79'), Soldo (120+2')
Durickovic (105+1')
Dordevic (52'), Rockov (73'), Durickovic (79'), Soldo (120+2')
Durickovic (105+1')
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Umaev (41'), Tanzharikov (75'), Hestefano Jean (93')
Cevallos (26'), Umaev (44'), Vatajelu (116'), Umaniyazov (120+3')
Cevallos (26'), Umaev (44'), Vatajelu (116'), Umaniyazov (120+3')
Sarajevo win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Sarajevo and Aktobe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarajevo win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Aktobe had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarajevo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aktobe win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).
Result | ||
Sarajevo | Draw | Aktobe |
40.59% ( 0.19) | 26.15% ( 0.08) | 33.26% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 53.25% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.78% ( -0.39) | 51.21% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.95% ( -0.34) | 73.05% ( 0.35) |
Sarajevo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.12% ( -0.08) | 24.88% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.51% ( -0.11) | 59.49% ( 0.11) |
Aktobe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% ( -0.37) | 29.11% ( 0.37) |