Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Kalevi Keskstaadioni kunstmuru
Toomas Teevali (11')
Klavan (79'), Sinilaid (83')
FT (HT: 1-1)
Movsesyan (28', 77') Gilmore (39'), Aghasaryan (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tallinna Kalev and Urartu.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urartu win with a probability of 60.25% . A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Tallinna Kalev had a probability of 19.59% .
The most likely scoreline for a Urartu win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 0-1 (7.78%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%) , while for a Tallinna Kalev win it was 2-1 (5.24%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Urartu in this match.
Result Tallinna Kalev Draw Urartu 19.59% ( -0) 20.16% ( -0.02) 60.25% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.8% ( 0.07)
64.57% ( 0.09) 35.42% ( -0.09)
42.54% ( 0.1) 57.46% ( -0.1)
68.68% ( 0.05) 31.32% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.31% ( 0.06) 67.68% ( -0.06)
88.52% ( 0.04) 11.47% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 63.69% ( 0.08) 36.31% ( -0.08)
Tallinna Kalev 19.59%
Urartu 60.25%
Draw 20.16%
Tallinna Kalev Draw Urartu 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.59% Total : 19.59% 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.16% 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 60.25%
rhs 2.0
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