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Europa League
Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 5pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis

Larnaca
3 - 0
Dnipro-1

Gyurcso (21'), Lopes (45'), Englezou (78')
Gustavo (61'), Lopes (73'), Angel (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Loginov (14'), Babenko (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AEK Larnaca and Dnipro-1, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Larnaca

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-2 Larnaca
Thursday, August 18 at 7pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Dnipro-1

Last Six:
    Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-2 Larnaca
    Thursday, August 18 at 7pm in Europa League

    We said: AEK Larnaca X-Y Dnipro-1

     AEK Larnaca got the job done away from home last week and will head into Thursday looking to pick up where they dropped off in the first leg. We are backing them to make use of their home crowd advantage to claim the victory, albeit by another slender margin. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

    The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Larnaca would win this match.

    Result
    AEK LarnacaDrawDnipro-1
    37.49% (0.215 0.21) 26.31% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 36.2% (-0.273 -0.27)
    Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.221 -0.22)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    48.5% (-0.274 -0.27)51.5% (0.275 0.27)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    26.7% (-0.238 -0.24)73.3% (0.241 0.24)
    AEK Larnaca Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    73.3% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    38.05% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.95% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
    Dnipro-1 Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    72.55% (-0.292 -0.29)27.44% (0.293 0.29)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    37.07% (-0.378 -0.38)62.93% (0.379 0.38)
    Score Analysis
        AEK Larnaca 37.49%
        Dnipro-1 36.2%
        Draw 26.31%
    AEK LarnacaDrawDnipro-1
    1-0 @ 9.68% (0.104 0.1)
    2-1 @ 8.26% (0.019 0.02)
    2-0 @ 6.39% (0.068 0.07)
    3-1 @ 3.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
    3-0 @ 2.81% (0.029 0.03)
    3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
    4-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
    4-0 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
    Other @ 2.23%
    Total : 37.49%
    		1-1 @ 12.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
    0-0 @ 7.33% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
    2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
    3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.12%
    Total : 26.31%
    		0-1 @ 9.47% (0.026 0.03)
    1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
    0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
    1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
    0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
    2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.033 -0.03)
    1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
    Other @ 2.96%
    Total : 36.2%

    How you voted: Larnaca vs Dnipro-1

    AEK Larnaca
    73.0%
    Draw
    16.2%
    Dnipro-1
    10.8%
    111
    Head to Head
    Aug 18, 2022 7pm
    Dnipro-1
    1-2
    Larnaca
    Svatok (90')
    Sarapiy (63')
    Sarapiy (90+5')
    Altman (16'), Svatok (29' og.)
    Gustavo (62'), Casas (90+3')
    rhs 2.0
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