Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Partizana
Partizan2 - 2Larnaca
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Partizan 2-0 AEK Larnaca
Partizan have been near-impenetrable on their home turf in recent weeks, claiming eight wins and two draws from their last 10 games. We are tipping them to turn this tie around in front of their home crowd against an opposing side who have managed just two wins in their last seven games on the road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizan win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Partizan | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
41.49% ( 0.03) | 25.94% ( -0.11) | 32.57% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
