Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion
Molde3 - 1Silkeborg
FT(HT: 2-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Molde 2-3 KFUM
Saturday, July 20 at 7.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Saturday, July 20 at 7.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Silkeborg 1-0 SonderjyskE
Sunday, July 21 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Sunday, July 21 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
We said: Molde 2-1 Silkeborg
With Molde holding both the home advantage and a perceived stronger squad heading into this second qualifying round first leg, the hosts are strong favourites to win the tie, and we expect them to get off to the ideal start with a victory here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.57%. A win for Silkeborg had a probability of 20.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Silkeborg win was 1-2 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Silkeborg |
59.57% ( 0) | 20.18% | 20.25% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.01) | 34.51% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.55% ( 0.01) | 56.45% ( -0) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( 0.01) | 11.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.89% ( 0.01) | 36.1% ( -0) |
| Silkeborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( 0) | 30.16% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.68% ( 0) | 66.32% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Molde 59.57%
Silkeborg 20.25%
Draw 20.18%
| Molde | Draw | Silkeborg |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 8.11% 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.87% 3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.19% 4-2 @ 2.29% 5-1 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)5-2 @ 1% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.88% Total : 59.57% | 1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.18% | 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-1 @ 4.11% 0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.86% Total : 20.25% |
How you voted: Molde vs Silkeborg
Molde
82.4%Draw
9.4%Silkeborg
8.2%85
