Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Union SG2 - 1Nice
We said: Union SG 1-1 Nice
Nice's worrying European form is unlikely to change against a side currently unbeaten in nine games, and it could spell the end of their chances to progress. Union SG are on the rise in Europe, winning four points from their last two games, and they will be confident of taking something here, especially after holding Roma on their last European home night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Nice |
42.35% ( -0.36) | 25.41% ( -0.02) | 32.23% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( 0.21) | 48.36% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% ( 0.2) | 70.5% ( -0.19) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( -0.08) | 22.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.59% ( -0.12) | 56.41% ( 0.12) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0.36) | 28.37% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.89% ( 0.44) | 64.11% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Union SG 42.35%
Nice 32.23%
Draw 25.41%
| Union SG | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.35% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.23% |
How you voted: Union SG vs Nice
Union SG
53.8%Draw
30.8%Nice
15.4%52
